moneyevil
0x52a724fd71afc3f70af67d0820f9c75d47e82995
- Realised P&L
- $-70.84
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $187.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.725 | $79.75 | −$0.55 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $56.35 | −$1.61 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.510 | $51.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.55 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.80 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Natus Vincere | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.70 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.70 |
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage · ENJOY | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.71 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.18at 0.339Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
- +$91.28at 0.194Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.25at 0.639Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
- +$38.76at 0.612Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
- +$36.59at 0.542Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:09 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-04 16:39 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 10-04 16:30 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-04 15:37 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage | BUY | 0.39 | $17.18 |
| 10-04 15:24 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 10-04 14:44 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-04 14:43 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.27 | $51.30 |
| 10-04 14:34 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-04 13:11 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 10-04 12:23 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-04 12:22 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $109.88 |
| 10-04 11:59 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 10-04 11:56 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $80.30 |
| 10-04 11:39 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.537 | $32.22 |
| 10-04 11:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.631 | $31.55 |