kalimoto
0x528c1d5490fdaf36554560f143c68d7a8a74730f
- Realised P&L
- $14.40
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $456.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Titans · Texans | 0.750 | 0.765 | $311.30 | +$6.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9? · No | 0.760 | 0.710 | $74.69 | −$5.31 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.760 | $34.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.175 | $22.98 | −$7.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? · No | 0.711 | 0.836 | $11.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.015 | $2.15 | −$37.85 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? · No | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.97at 0.667Colts vs. Commanders
- +$157.18at 0.680Chiefs vs. Raiders
- +$52.66at 0.658Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?
- +$45.08at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:54 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $35.00 |
| 10-08 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2284768209 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7604947638 | $80.00 |
| 10-08 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.9970837355 | $146.70 |
| 10-08 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7109999802 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2696629201 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6796601696 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $154.43 |
| 10-06 14:34 | Texans vs. Titans | BUY | 0.75 | $305.20 |
| 10-05 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6468820276 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 09:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1750768386 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4365287236 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 17:20 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $334.00 |
| 10-04 17:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.7266247189 | $400.00 |