PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kalimoto

0x528c1d5490fdaf36554560f143c68d7a8a74730f

Realised P&L
$14.40
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$456.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Texans vs. Titans · Texans0.7500.765$311.30+$6.10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9? · No0.7600.710$74.69−$5.31
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.7800.760$34.10−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? · Yes0.2280.175$22.98−$7.02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? · No0.7110.836$11.76+$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? · Yes0.2700.015$2.15−$37.85
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.7270.000$0.00−$400.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 6? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? · No0.4360.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:54Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999978$35.00
10-08 04:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.2284768209$30.00
10-08 04:38Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9?BUY0.7604947638$80.00
10-08 04:37Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?SELL0.9970837355$146.70
10-08 00:17Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.7109999802$10.00
10-07 01:56Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.2696629201$40.00
10-07 01:54Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.6796601696$100.00
10-07 01:47Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?SELL0.999$154.43
10-06 14:34Texans vs. TitansBUY0.75$305.20
10-05 09:23Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 6?BUY0.6468820276$100.00
10-05 09:21Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6?BUY0.6999999977$30.00
10-05 00:23Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 6?BUY0.1750768386$20.00
10-05 00:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5?BUY0.4365287236$30.00
10-04 17:20Chiefs vs. RaidersBUY0.6799999994$334.00
10-04 17:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.7266247189$400.00