Trilannon
0x528b7e8f2c1ba2c1a7b5bcbc57d45cf544df62e9
- Realised P&L
- $-52.24
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $47.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 1.000 | $32.26 | +$22.26 |
| Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.065 | $6.74 | −$33.26 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.115 | $4.79 | −$5.21 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $3.82 | −$6.18 |
| Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.002 | $0.18 | −$1.82 |
| Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will BNB reach $700 in March? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.42at 0.140Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$45.00at 0.182Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$21.67at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
- +$13.28at 0.601Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$9.61at 0.510Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 13:56 | Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3232983875 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 13:55 | Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 13:55 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |
| 03-22 13:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 13:47 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 13:44 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 13:41 | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.016821814 | $2.00 |
| 03-18 17:31 | Will BNB reach $700 in March? | BUY | 0.6586150001 | $50.00 |
| 03-18 17:30 | Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | BUY | 0.3858731828 | $40.00 |
| 03-05 15:39 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 15:37 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 15:34 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.1359999897 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 19:16 | US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? | BUY | 0.3187568483 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 02:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |