PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Trilannon

0x528b7e8f2c1ba2c1a7b5bcbc57d45cf544df62e9

Realised P&L
$-71.50
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$18.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? · Yes0.3860.075$7.77$32.23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2400.135$5.62$4.38
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.078$4.59$5.41
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.0170.004$0.54$1.46
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$30.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will BNB reach $700 in March? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 13:56Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3232983875$10.00
05-13 13:55Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.1$5.00
05-13 13:55Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4499999962$30.00
03-22 13:48Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
03-22 13:47China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
03-22 13:44Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.08$10.00
03-22 13:41Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.016821814$2.00
03-18 17:31Will BNB reach $700 in March?BUY0.6586150001$50.00
03-18 17:30Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?BUY0.3858731828$40.00
03-05 15:39Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
03-05 15:37Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
03-05 15:34Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.1359999897$10.00
03-01 19:16US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?BUY0.3187568483$20.00
02-10 02:17S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
02-03 01:06Will the US strike Iran next?BUY0.0489999908$5.00