PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

edenmoonff

0x5278d650610258f74b1d9be09b2353f089dd8a01

Realised P&L
$-6.64
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$499.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.6710.958$19.63+$5.87
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$16.67+$0.30
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.5000.951$11.41+$5.41
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.935$11.22+$5.22
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.933$11.20+$5.20
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.5000.868$10.42+$4.42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8870.972$9.23+$0.80
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · No0.8201.000$8.50+$1.53
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · No0.9741.000$8.50+$0.22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No0.8301.000$8.50+$1.45
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? · Yes0.8811.000$8.50+$1.01
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9201.000$8.50+$0.68
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? · Yes0.9491.000$8.50+$0.43
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · No0.9301.000$8.50+$0.59
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado? · Yes0.8101.000$8.50+$1.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 09:22Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$1.90
03-06 11:39Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.963$8.19
03-04 07:57Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?SELL0.87$0.38
03-04 05:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.888$4.44
03-04 05:52Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.959$8.15
03-04 05:51Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.962$8.18
03-04 05:39Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?SELL0.967$8.22
03-04 05:37Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?SELL0.984$8.36
03-04 05:36Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.884$8.40
03-04 05:34Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.888$11.99
03-03 06:46Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?BUY0.88$7.48
03-03 06:45China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.86$7.31
03-03 06:44Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$8.07
03-03 06:44Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.94$7.99
03-03 06:43Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?BUY0.91$7.74