defoncetout
0x526d5e08fe010d4fd4c51ba2e8bb34e6404ffb92
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$913.23at 0.112Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$437.03at 0.264US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$267.35at 0.109Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$123.81at 0.587Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$111.69at 0.731Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $2.57 |
| 09-30 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $8.32 |
| 09-30 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $20.96 |
| 09-30 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999952 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999971 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0733944954 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |