JetLi
0x52563d214f165152d9a292d921fa30876c24e0ac
- Realised P&L
- $-54.46
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $25.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.519 | $11.53 | +$1.53 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.876 | 0.930 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.042 | $3.23 | −$6.77 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.029 | $0.27 | −$1.33 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.84at 0.240Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$6.63at 0.430Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
- +$5.53at 0.475US military action against Iran before July?
- +$4.90at 0.510Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.510Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:44 | Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:31 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.1107037755 | $8.56 |
| 09-14 22:26 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 15:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.107 | $8.92 |
| 06-10 00:18 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 21:16 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 04:05 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.2399999627 | $4.37 |
| 05-05 21:58 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.8759999986 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 03:18 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.0646420012 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 23:17 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.04 |
| 04-07 22:21 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 23:06 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1269999802 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 00:12 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0224455895 | $5.00 |
| 02-10 04:11 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.00 |
| 02-10 04:06 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |