pauletrump
0x5229a0e337ec04669ead0a6f4653f24d3dbf1912
- Realised P&L
- $-114.14
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $316.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.968Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$6.09at 0.833Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.928Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.54at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$5.26at 0.744Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:05 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999994 | $23.00 |
| 10-08 18:04 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962230194 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 18:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9607597842 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 18:03 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 18:00 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999685 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 17:59 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 17:56 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9419999987 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 17:55 | Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 17:55 | Will Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 17:55 | Will Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:49 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 18:49 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9099999909 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 18:47 | Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0199362439 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:47 | Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0108393517 | $3.00 |