PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

diogosimons

0x51ff8c5dc222eeccb7521751eb7d2e7e2f6a6f8c

Realised P&L
$-25.23
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$18.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2880.639$2.22+$1.22
Will Cidônio Gonçalves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? · Yes0.0040.007$1.83+$0.83
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7480.962$1.29+$0.29
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.7500.910$1.21+$0.21
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8300.996$1.20+$0.20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3880.447$1.15+$0.15
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.7600.820$1.08+$0.08
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0580.063$1.08+$0.08
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes0.3400.365$1.07+$0.07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$1.02+$0.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3800.355$0.93−$0.07
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.6610.618$0.93−$0.07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.075$0.83−$0.17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.215$0.72−$0.28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1430.090$0.63−$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 00:51Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?SELL0.1939537815$4.62
10-03 19:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-03 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-03 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-03 17:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.96$5.00
10-03 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.8$5.00
10-03 16:53Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-03 16:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.8599997764$1.00
10-03 16:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-03 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-03 16:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-03 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
09-30 01:16Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0579999977$1.00
09-30 01:11Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-30 01:10Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999928$1.00