PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

equitycat

0x51f5ef643988f8109f071f2bcd0e0e58c2b7281f

Realised P&L
$-195.67
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$121.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 6? · Yes0.3000.300$50.05+$0.05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8540.972$28.52+$3.45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6300.955$22.74+$7.74
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8850.981$11.17+$1.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3? · Yes0.2000.185$9.25−$0.75
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$14.70
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$14.70
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 12:17Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2899999968$20.00
10-31 12:17Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.4499999944$20.00
10-31 12:17Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
10-31 12:17Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
10-31 12:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 6?BUY0.2997002985$50.00
10-31 12:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?BUY0.2$10.00
10-31 12:14Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
10-18 12:45Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
10-10 10:31Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999997$20.00
10-10 10:31Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
10-10 10:31Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?BUY0.2799999978$20.00
10-10 10:30Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4199999966$20.00
10-10 10:30Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?BUY0.2399999981$20.00
10-10 10:29Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.6899999979$30.00
04-22 18:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.77$11.54