MagRe
0x51ca3de816b8634e07b193d55263e52144f7708e
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $43.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.165 | $35.36 | +$5.36 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.011 | $8.38 | −$91.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.766Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$213.45at 0.837Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$207.48at 0.463Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$36.87at 0.835Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$28.76at 0.874Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 16:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 06-23 14:06 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.8966850321 | $537.07 |
| 03-18 16:08 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1372843777 | $100.00 |
| 12-05 22:44 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.8351264808 | $500.20 |
| 08-06 20:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 20:27 | Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 20:27 | Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct? | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 20:27 | Obama federally charged in 2025? | BUY | 0.9269999914 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 22:31 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.8 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 13:41 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 19:17 | Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 10:03 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.8567163478 | $600.00 |
| 07-02 10:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9099999975 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 10:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999962 | $100.00 |