PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51C8Dbac7624F214e9aFf815DDcA49B7639A22d8-1766273812029

0x51c8dbac7624f214e9aff815ddca49b7639a22d8

Realised P&L
$476.05
Volume
$35.6k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$88.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:38Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.983$130.94
09-12 20:38Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.36$15.00
09-12 20:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$7.90
09-12 20:35Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.0215675295$9.96
09-01 02:02Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.982$353.65
09-01 02:01Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.998$28.51
08-24 23:54Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?BUY0.7489999538$10.00
08-18 18:18Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?SELL0.31$2.58
08-08 12:21Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?BUY0.6359999985$12.00
08-08 09:10Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.8399999975$40.00
08-08 00:55Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.6599999954$40.00
08-08 00:46Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-08 00:46Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
08-08 00:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?BUY0.6099999451$4.00
08-08 00:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.6799999946$10.00