PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x51C8Dbac7624F214e9aFf815DDcA49B7639A22d8-1766273812029

0x51c8dbac7624f214e9aff815ddca49b7639a22d8

Realised P&L
$360.21
Volume
$33.7k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$805.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:24Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.619999978$22.00
08-01 09:12Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.6587264613$150.00
08-01 08:52Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.3889999916$25.00
08-01 08:50Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.5855670877$171.51
07-31 17:44Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.6828078587$200.00
07-31 17:44Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.918$203.47
07-31 17:13Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.001$0.01
07-31 09:25Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.699999972$5.00
07-31 09:24Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.695134033$5.00
07-31 09:24Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.485148486$5.00
07-31 09:22Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.1043729004$11.00
07-31 03:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-31 03:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
07-31 03:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-31 03:05Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5212055172$30.00