0x51C8Dbac7624F214e9aFf815DDcA49B7639A22d8-1766273812029
0x51c8dbac7624f214e9aff815ddca49b7639a22d8
- Realised P&L
- $360.21
- Volume
- $33.7k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $805.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.85at 0.691Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$148.11at 0.770Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$67.22at 0.450England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$61.69at 0.564Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$37.75at 0.417Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:24 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.619999978 | $22.00 |
| 08-01 09:12 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6587264613 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 08:52 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3889999916 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 08:50 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.5855670877 | $171.51 |
| 07-31 17:44 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6828078587 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 17:44 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.918 | $203.47 |
| 07-31 17:13 | Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 09:25 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 09:24 | Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.695134033 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 09:24 | Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.485148486 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 09:22 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.1043729004 | $11.00 |
| 07-31 03:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 03:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 03:05 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5212055172 | $30.00 |