Petervonfossat
0x51b6ffb9b78c523d6e48e16ec0d49653d242733c
- Realised P&L
- $5.01
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $17.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.73at 0.141Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$7.77at 0.063Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.094Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$3.10at 0.320Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$2.16at 0.158Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0417661083 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:02 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.086999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:02 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1019999955 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1329999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.190999967 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 17:13 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 17:08 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.54 |
| 06-20 16:59 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.5799998466 | $1.21 |
| 06-20 16:55 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.10 |
| 06-20 16:54 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |