PolyBot

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Traders

Petervonfossat

0x51b6ffb9b78c523d6e48e16ec0d49653d242733c

Realised P&L
$5.01
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$17.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 12:12Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-10 12:12Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
10-10 12:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-10 12:12Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-10 12:12Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.0417661083$1.00
10-10 12:02Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0779999989$1.00
10-10 12:02Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.086999999$1.00
10-10 12:02Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1019999955$1.00
10-10 12:01Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1329999999$1.00
10-10 12:01Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.190999967$1.00
06-20 17:13Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.08$1.00
06-20 17:08Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.74$1.54
06-20 16:59Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.5799998466$1.21
06-20 16:55Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.2$1.10
06-20 16:54Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.429999828$1.00