PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lostinleningrad

0x51ad8bfc74c6cf18df67e637f9ecfc757ce205be

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$120.3k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.952$666.39+$15.40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8290.870$495.02+$23.58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.7230.723$399.72$0.28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8730.873$299.91$0.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.8901.000$224.61+$24.61
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9060.917$202.51+$2.51
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9000.935$147.96+$5.54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8830.887$133.13+$0.68
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9820.986$118.28+$0.42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6770.715$105.66+$5.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5700.565$79.29$0.72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7900.415$20.75$18.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$19.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$61.10
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:19Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9061357729$200.00
08-02 04:18Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8727473104$300.00
08-02 04:18Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7229999995$400.00
08-02 04:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5699999977$80.00
08-02 04:15Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
08-02 04:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6650124039$50.00
07-22 15:20Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.3403034533$224.29
07-22 15:20Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.3278574$327.86
07-19 13:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7$189.19
07-19 13:17Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.976$616.65
07-17 19:37Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
07-17 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.7058235402$40.00
07-17 19:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6887423475$50.00
07-17 19:34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
07-17 19:33Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999959$30.00