lostinleningrad
0x51ad8bfc74c6cf18df67e637f9ecfc757ce205be
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $125.3k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.68at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$112.15at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$102.59at 0.835US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$99.60at 0.900US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
- +$97.20at 0.923Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 16:27 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.66 | $370.92 |
| 08-20 18:55 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8641680997 | $500.00 |
| 08-20 18:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $43.51 |
| 08-09 22:20 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $668.49 |
| 08-09 22:20 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $118.69 |
| 08-09 22:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $116.75 |
| 08-09 22:18 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 22:17 | UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 08-09 22:17 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 22:17 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 22:17 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 04:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9061357729 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 04:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8727473104 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 04:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7229999995 | $400.00 |