PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dava1

0x518467728111bb0a29095900887d167362f41363

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$519.6k
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$997.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1080.139$257.41+$57.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.9000.905$251.39+$1.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.8100.795$206.11−$3.89
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.034$95.71−$4.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.7900.780$59.24−$0.76
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.005$30.56−$19.44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8500.879$27.94+$0.94
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0200.023$23.22+$3.23
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.009$17.12+$2.13
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0120.009$15.83−$4.17
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$5.00−$5.00
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$5.00−$5.00
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$2.50−$7.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 01:16Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.8099999993$210.00
10-07 19:23Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.7899999982$60.00
10-07 19:23Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.8280312175$300.00
10-07 19:22Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7099999988$150.00
10-07 19:22Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.012$20.00
10-07 19:22Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$50.00
10-07 19:21Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.035$100.00
10-07 19:20Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$10.00
10-07 19:20Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$10.00
10-07 19:20Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$10.00
10-07 19:20Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0078836905$15.00
10-07 19:20Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0198066867$20.00
10-04 22:38Will England win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.8699999999$437.88
10-04 22:38Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.7799999995$200.00
10-04 22:37Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.108$200.00