0x5180812c77eb2df78db9561b6cc93282f19be6cd
0x5180812c77eb2df78db9561b6cc93282f19be6cd
- Realised P&L
- $-15.34
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $37.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.665 | $10.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.510 | $9.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.305 | $8.48 | −$5.52 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.345 | $8.42 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.85at 0.656Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$19.51at 0.530Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$11.75at 0.630US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$5.18at 0.378Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.714Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:46 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 11:09 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 11:03 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 10:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 01:54 | Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.56 |
| 10-16 00:26 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6649952686 | $32.74 |
| 10-16 00:25 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.88 |
| 10-16 00:25 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.11 |
| 10-16 00:25 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $5.21 |
| 10-16 00:25 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.24 |
| 10-16 00:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $10.44 |
| 10-16 00:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $7.94 |
| 10-16 00:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.20 |
| 10-16 00:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0323250975 | $0.50 |