ZaVDV
0x51701b207e9cca2395549abf494ff570539d179c
- Realised P&L
- $-195.30
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $83.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $69.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.680 | $6.80 | +$2.60 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.475 | $4.85 | −$5.15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.855 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.06at 0.850Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.81at 0.847Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$4.36at 0.967Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$3.31at 0.941Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$2.16at 0.985Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 18:26 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | SELL | 0.9695319149 | $91.14 |
| 10-03 18:22 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $91.93 |
| 10-01 19:51 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 19:50 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 23:14 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 09-26 20:13 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999967 | $140.00 |
| 09-25 16:52 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.9837338598 | $37.00 |
| 09-25 16:51 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.9839273861 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 11:12 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.999 | $137.35 |
| 09-22 16:45 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9775720695 | $58.00 |
| 09-22 16:41 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.9971907524 | $58.45 |
| 09-21 16:11 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9594908301 | $75.00 |
| 09-21 12:51 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9976559791 | $29.00 |
| 09-20 18:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9499999877 | $27.00 |