PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x516925307ec0705049401c3dcb6c57ad2aee6a1f

0x516925307ec0705049401c3dcb6c57ad2aee6a1f

Realised P&L
$2.88
Volume
$119.31
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$4.33

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No0.6200.855$1.38+$0.38
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.7900.910$1.15+$0.15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7700.760$0.99−$0.01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2400.195$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:39Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-05 14:38Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-05 00:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-02 14:49Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-02 05:25S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.7$1.00
10-01 12:07S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-01 04:06Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-27 16:45OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-27 02:35Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-26 07:49Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-25 18:13WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25?BUY0.78$1.00
09-25 18:13WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25?BUY0.25$1.00
09-25 10:11SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.74$1.00
09-25 02:07Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-24 15:49Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7$1.00