0x516925307ec0705049401c3dcb6c57ad2aee6a1f
0x516925307ec0705049401c3dcb6c57ad2aee6a1f
- Realised P&L
- $2.88
- Volume
- $119.31
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.855 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.910 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.760 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.195 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.14at 0.210Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:45 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:35 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:13 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:13 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:49 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |