PolyBot

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Traders

0x5c161DC853Efa50C9Cd086A8B7b77B1696ca5387-1722906635527

0x5167b9c474a9dcb74b99e8148d7fa95ca3050094

Realised P&L
$-242.13
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$898.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.3120.265$298.20−$53.97
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1370.115$83.79−$16.21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1800.145$80.56−$19.44
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1170.085$80.28−$30.45
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.705$63.86−$1.36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.545$55.42−$4.58
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0980.089$45.20−$4.80
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.390$44.03−$25.97
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.3100.215$34.68−$15.32
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? · Yes0.2350.310$26.39+$6.39
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1830.066$18.78−$33.22
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.1900.190$9.50+$0.00
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.1160.080$9.28−$4.18
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0940.112$7.40+$1.19
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0840.040$6.08−$6.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 03:08Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1399999995$10.74
10-31 03:08Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.007142602$5.00
10-31 03:07Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0136650425$5.00
10-31 02:51Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.3493370976$20.73
10-28 18:00Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0173832259$1.65
10-28 17:59Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1108321834$50.00
10-28 17:14Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.0089543329$1.00
10-28 17:14Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.0098814229$1.00
10-28 17:14Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0791765637$10.00
10-28 16:58Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.0082671958$1.00
10-28 16:56Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?BUY0.0040648232$1.00
10-28 16:41Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0965327027$10.00
10-28 16:40Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.0278520406$1.00
10-28 16:38Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0312834164$10.00
10-28 16:38Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1199999999$50.00