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Traders

bullishkirby

0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309

Realised P&L
$-110.3k
Volume
$6.81M
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$150.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$97.3k+$564.48
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8820.950$29.8k+$2.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1220.105$21.9k$3.6k
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.295$1.3k+$21.78
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.115$279.15$36.41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00$192.04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4610.000$0.00$73.8k
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.5000.000$0.00$28.6k
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? · No0.3840.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.5380.000$0.00$1.7k
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$18.50
Will T1 win MSI 2026? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$2.6k
Will a Team win MSI Without Dropping a Series? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00$32.32
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? · Yes0.3380.000$0.00$588.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$4.0k
09-10 05:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$6.9k
09-10 04:57Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$1.3k
09-07 22:10Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.89$206.57
09-06 12:40Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.89$526.29
08-29 09:27Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.984$32.27
08-29 09:24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.998$37.58
08-15 16:21Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.012$11.26
08-15 16:16Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.012$84.23
08-15 16:07Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.011$2.68
08-15 15:55Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0116127061$217.71
08-15 15:35Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.01$78.61
08-14 01:52Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.02$72.39
08-12 16:08Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.016$0.64
08-12 14:42Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.014$1.80