0x51588a0e3495809315338c25a608ca1d09bd6c9b
0x51588a0e3495809315338c25a608ca1d09bd6c9b
- Realised P&L
- $-73.67
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $82.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.40at 0.230Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?
- +$4.00at 0.300Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?
- +$3.85at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$2.88at 0.510Solana Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$2.80at 0.360Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-28 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999514 | $3.55 |
| 09-28 02:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8499998567 | $4.45 |
| 09-28 02:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999313 | $3.40 |
| 09-28 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999964 | $3.40 |
| 09-28 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-28 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $3.95 |
| 09-28 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-28 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999448 | $3.35 |
| 09-28 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999054 | $3.70 |
| 09-28 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-28 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999962 | $4.10 |
| 09-28 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999763 | $3.85 |
| 09-28 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |