PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51588a0e3495809315338c25a608ca1d09bd6c9b

0x51588a0e3495809315338c25a608ca1d09bd6c9b

Realised P&L
$-73.67
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$82.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8000.780$15.60−$0.40
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.6600.620$12.40−$0.80
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election? · No0.6800.555$11.10−$2.50
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.455$9.10−$2.50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? · No0.4600.430$8.60−$0.60
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? · Yes0.4700.355$7.10−$2.30
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1900.186$3.72−$0.08
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.175$3.50−$4.90
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.170$3.40−$2.20
Will London have between 35-45mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.2300.148$2.97−$1.63
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.205$2.33+$0.06
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3600.281$2.08−$0.59
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.040$0.60−$1.50
Solana Up or Down - September 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00−$2.93
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$4.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 02:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.71$3.55
09-28 02:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.6899999514$3.55
09-28 02:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.8499998567$4.45
09-28 02:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.5699999313$3.40
09-28 02:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.6199999964$3.40
09-28 02:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.81$4.05
09-28 01:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.78$3.95
09-28 01:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.64$3.20
09-28 01:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.6599999448$3.35
09-28 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.6999999054$3.70
09-28 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.86$4.30
09-28 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.84$4.20
09-28 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.7799999962$4.10
09-28 00:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.7599999763$3.85
09-28 00:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.7899999802$4.00