PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5157496cc031749287487221b6983eafd80e942b

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$75.6k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? · No0.3801.000$1.1k+$706.55
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04? · Yes0.3401.000$1.1k+$695.68
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12? · Yes0.4571.000$660.79+$358.50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18? · Yes0.4951.000$642.99+$324.96
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? · No0.4201.000$240.96+$139.76
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.8801.000$228.57+$27.43
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21? · Yes0.5601.000$173.91+$76.52
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2620.091$173.66$326.33
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? · Yes0.4201.000$162.54+$94.27
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21? · No0.3831.000$142.60+$88.00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · No0.7200.955$132.47+$32.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? · Yes0.8001.000$125.79+$25.16
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.8001.000$125.00+$25.00
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · No0.9981.000$100.15+$0.20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26? · Yes0.6801.000$100.14+$32.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 01:23Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.48$29.73
04-28 01:08Spread: Thunder (-11.5)BUY0.47$29.33
04-27 20:25Spread: Pistons (-3.5)BUY0.51$32.59
04-27 19:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.77$66.29
04-27 18:33Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?BUY0.52$34.96
04-27 16:24Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$33.88
04-26 20:31Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5BUY0.6131256876$43.55
04-26 19:33LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.64$60.12
04-26 13:21Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.64$46.98
04-26 12:08Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.43$29.50
04-26 11:31Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.55$38.28
04-25 19:30Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsBUY0.63$48.48
04-25 13:27Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.52$37.28
04-25 07:20Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.51$36.97
04-24 19:34Spread: Spurs (-2.5)BUY0.52$37.79