0x514Ee57d7B3aa21f6eA09158b95afd05388A4060-1772713557045
0x514ee57d7b3aa21f6ea09158b95afd05388a4060
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.460 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$540.00 |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.820 | $562.60 | −$37.40 |
| Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? · No | 0.543 | 0.400 | $73.69 | −$26.31 |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.051 | $33.07 | −$66.93 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$460.03 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Pakistan win? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.209Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$708.73at 0.297Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:00 | Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5428077839 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 02:59 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9225914064 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 02:59 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.6937561928 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:20 | Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | BUY | 0.1526977582 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 05:21 | Will Pakistan win? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 12:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $500.00 |
| 04-21 16:32 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.297403862 | $300.00 |
| 03-21 12:58 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.50 |
| 03-17 07:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.384 | $35.71 |
| 03-17 07:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $460.00 |
| 03-15 15:33 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.13 |
| 03-11 16:41 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.24 |
| 03-11 16:28 | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.91 |