JTXEXE
0x514bc0967a37ae7600d47732728a87a60719ad6a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $250.1k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $10.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.019 | $6.00 | −$4.00 |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.640 | 0.949 | $2.67 | +$0.87 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.046 | $1.55 | −$3.45 |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will Mookie Betts lead the MLB in RBI's? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) · FURIA | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Rangers vs. Mariners · Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.36 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3) · Passion UA | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers · Mavericks | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 15? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 21? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Athletics vs. Rangers · Athletics | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.27at 0.440Athletics vs. Guardians
- +$112.77at 0.470Marlins vs. Nationals
- +$107.17at 0.528Rangers vs. Angels
- +$99.96at 0.500Tigers vs. Rangers
- +$96.08at 0.510Yankees vs. Braves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 09:17 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999971 | $48.31 |
| 08-20 12:19 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999976 | $98.39 |
| 08-20 12:19 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $101.69 |
| 08-20 12:14 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.549999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-20 11:40 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.6785418136 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:34 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.2632206145 | $80.95 |
| 08-20 11:32 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.2646642822 | $81.40 |
| 08-20 11:31 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.2195731099 | $105.60 |
| 08-20 11:27 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5099797245 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:26 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.3271428571 | $22.90 |
| 08-20 11:20 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5641888524 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:19 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5630741858 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:18 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.62 | $29.06 |
| 08-20 11:18 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.69872704 | $109.18 |
| 08-20 11:15 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |