PolyBot

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Traders

Lollan69

0x513accb0e521d82b2e82b7eab4ffcc369e0c4da5

Realised P&L
$-162.03
Volume
$56.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$238.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · No0.0050.011$54.95+$29.96
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · No0.4430.615$34.71+$9.71
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1400.125$22.32$2.68
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1400.113$20.18$4.82
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.054$15.56$19.44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5130.512$14.99$0.01
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0800.045$14.06$10.94
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.0040.007$13.03+$6.03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.059$9.92$15.08
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2620.220$8.39$1.61
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0810.026$8.06$16.93
Will Robert Downey Jr. be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0410.025$6.04$3.96
GTA VI released by November 30? · No0.0800.060$6.00$2.00
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2800.145$5.18$4.82
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? · Yes0.0900.070$3.89$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 23:10Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-20 23:05LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CBUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-20 23:03Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.42$4.00
09-20 22:52Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-14 01:33Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DBUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-14 01:33Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.1973333165$2.00
09-13 22:46Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.1190159424$20.00
09-13 22:46Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-13 22:44Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5129999839$15.00
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.64
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.61
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.71
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.66
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.63
09-09 18:51Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?BUY0.001$0.79