PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x51176f3542583a3d795acc0f067ce298bdec7950

Realised P&L
$0.45
Volume
$103.81
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$15.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3800.585$3.08+$1.08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5000.625$2.50+$0.50
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · No0.7150.792$2.22+$0.22
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6200.670$2.04+$0.15
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$2.00+$0.00
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · Yes0.2640.254$1.92$0.08
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.4900.355$1.06$0.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2400.022$0.19$1.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:14Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 00:14Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.2639999229$2.00
08-03 16:13Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?BUY0.75$2.00
08-03 08:12Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
08-02 23:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
08-02 15:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5$2.00
08-02 06:53Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 22:48Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.7149997444$2.00
08-01 13:42Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 03:44New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 19:44Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 11:43Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.619999895$1.89
07-30 13:07Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.49$1.47
07-29 15:02Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499997374$1.98
07-29 00:10Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5199998953$1.59