0x51176f3542583a3d795acc0f067ce298bdec7950
- Realised P&L
- $18.28
- Volume
- $423.08
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $10.45
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.480 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · No | 0.800 | 0.825 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.785 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.755 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.675 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.095 | $0.38 | −$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.06at 0.330US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.83at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:34 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 06:14 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 17:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 09:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 00:27 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $325 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 05:40 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 10:15 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |