0x50F9d0ecb47bc301783199b7F0626D9a0E282D88-1767730835739
0x50f9d0ecb47bc301783199b7f0626d9a0e282d88
- Realised P&L
- $151.55
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $198.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.50at 0.081Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$56.86at 0.592Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?
- +$47.37at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$31.52at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$31.14at 0.088Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 12:57 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.164 | $5.83 |
| 09-08 12:57 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.56 |
| 09-05 13:35 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.752 | $37.60 |
| 09-05 13:31 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-01 15:10 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-01 15:10 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-01 15:09 | Jets vs. Titans | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 07-31 13:26 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0895561448 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 13:10 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 20:42 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0729999934 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 20:35 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0119999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 20:35 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 20:35 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |