PolyBot

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Traders

0x50bbef12ac6475f5c21c4e8e85b111d655363f4f

0x50bbef12ac6475f5c21c4e8e85b111d655363f4f

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$241.9k
Markets traded
219
Open portfolio
$83.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded219
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2421.000$41.36+$31.36
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · Yes0.5951.000$24.11+$9.77
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei · No0.3151.000$10.00+$6.85
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes0.1230.045$3.67−$6.33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0800.018$2.19−$7.81
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4100.065$0.98−$5.18
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · Yes0.4400.095$0.81−$2.94
Will Joseph Mabirizi win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$1.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$6.23
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-26 01:02Rams vs. SeahawksBUY0.4$160.00
01-26 00:41Rams vs. SeahawksBUY0.47$319.60
01-18 06:42Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.35$1.05
01-18 06:40Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.35$1.05
01-18 06:40Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.35$1.05
01-18 06:40Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.35$1.05
01-18 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.33$11.88
01-18 06:37XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.06$1.17
01-18 06:37Solana Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.21$1.47
01-18 06:36Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETBUY0.62$4.34
01-18 06:36Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETBUY0.62$4.34
01-18 06:36Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.36$1.80
01-18 06:35XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.11625$1.86
01-18 06:35Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.44$15.84
01-18 06:34XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETSELL0.15$0.90