DoLess
0x507d8a1586eaaeb937300e81bf3e66473d9a728d
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $772.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.961 | $384.20 | +$52.20 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.035 | $110.05 | +$10.88 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No | 0.700 | 0.865 | $97.75 | +$18.64 |
| California voter ID referendum passes? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.335 | $92.17 | −$3.38 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.028 | $65.17 | −$34.36 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.004 | $12.69 | −$78.30 |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $10.29 | −$13.23 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · No | 0.919 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$760.76at 0.097Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
- +$480.39at 0.702Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
- +$474.60at 0.761Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$396.90at 0.665Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
- +$299.90at 0.328Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 18:36 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.9265 | $9.27 |
| 06-03 18:36 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.9108717483 | $426.13 |
| 05-30 13:25 | Will Vin Kruttiventi advance from the CA-13 primary election? | BUY | 0.9350298211 | $188.13 |
| 05-06 03:00 | California voter ID referendum passes? | BUY | 0.3472692909 | $95.54 |
| 04-16 19:03 | Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.968 | $136.49 |
| 03-10 20:32 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.6801904025 | $374.74 |
| 03-07 14:26 | Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $129.72 |
| 03-07 14:26 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.9189477352 | $263.74 |
| 02-20 14:15 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 01-21 13:59 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $80.00 |
| 12-31 14:19 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.5799319329 | $49.42 |
| 12-30 14:29 | Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 12-29 22:16 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.52 | $19.76 |
| 12-29 22:16 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.4962485408 | $131.78 |
| 12-29 21:58 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.4819767442 | $207.25 |