truthbeautyjustice
0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $856.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,007
- Open portfolio
- $24.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No | 0.730 | 0.730 | $14.60 | +$0.00 |
| Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No | 0.835 | 0.260 | $8.01 | −$17.71 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.005 | $1.56 | −$8.44 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$65.13 |
| Spread: Titans (-2.5) · Titans | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Oklahoma (-41.5) · UTEP | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| 49ers vs. Rams · Rams | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.90 |
| Western Michigan vs. Michigan · Western Michigan | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.94 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.323Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$735.43at 0.370Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$681.53at 0.724MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$677.79at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$645.90at 0.361Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:23 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.525 | $42.00 |
| 10-18 20:18 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.209065786 | $24.06 |
| 08-31 04:46 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 04:44 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.38 | $22.80 |
| 08-31 04:43 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.28 | $24.64 |
| 08-31 04:42 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.71 |
| 08-31 04:42 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-31 04:41 | Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 08-31 04:40 | Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 08-31 04:37 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-31 04:37 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 08-31 04:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $54.90 |
| 08-31 04:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $50.85 |
| 08-31 04:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 08-31 04:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |