PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15

Realised P&L
$48.3k
Volume
$8.58M
Markets traded
52,206
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded52,206
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9140.935$3.1k+$70.43
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9260.918$2.8k$24.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7990.745$2.5k$184.20
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9720.966$2.0k$13.47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.705$1.6k$33.71
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9500.966$965.50+$15.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9000.961$960.50+$60.50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8500.595$476.00$204.00
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.9210.899$449.75$10.75
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.9830.995$187.96+$2.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Down0.4600.535$55.64+$7.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.4900.485$46.07$0.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Up0.4700.365$35.41$10.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up0.2690.995$28.49+$20.80
Solana Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Down0.5000.475$4.75$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:49Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.9835645692$136.62
09-17 21:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.9896921247$136.62
09-17 21:59Solana Up or Down - September 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.9815068196$62.37
09-17 21:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.99$162.36
09-17 21:34Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.99$136.62
09-17 21:29Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.99$136.62
09-17 21:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.98$162.36
09-17 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.9742061248$162.36
09-17 21:19Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.99$136.62
09-17 21:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.99$162.36
09-17 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.98$162.36
09-17 20:49Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.99$136.62
09-17 20:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.99$162.36
09-17 20:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.99$162.36
09-17 20:29Solana Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.99$62.37