PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15

Realised P&L
$110.0k
Volume
$13.27M
Markets traded
78,003
Open portfolio
$31.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded78,003
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9200.945$7.8k+$205.23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.945$5.1k+$135.87
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9030.842$4.2k−$310.49
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9140.976$3.2k+$205.94
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7990.875$3.0k+$256.53
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9720.975$2.0k+$6.08
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.745$1.9k+$37.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.705$1.6k−$33.71
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9500.984$983.50+$33.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9000.972$971.50+$71.50
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.9210.923$461.75+$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET · Down0.5000.510$44.37+$0.87
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET · Down0.4900.500$43.50+$0.87
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.4860.485$31.52−$0.07
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.5000.710$26.10+$7.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.2999999994$49.91
11-01 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.3571346697$36.08
11-01 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.4289786212$42.00
11-01 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.4799999968$48.16
11-01 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5225925991$52.20
11-01 14:47Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.1951181743$10.08
11-01 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.3099999965$16.80
11-01 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.42$21.00
11-01 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.1899999994$9.10
11-01 14:29Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.9399999975$159.08
11-01 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1699999993$9.10
11-01 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1399999983$8.16
11-01 11:59Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.99$35.64
11-01 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.99$162.36
11-01 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.1799999984$9.10