Bloombergg
0x501870715d934653d1ebe8b4564df87b36e96108
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $199.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $883.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.333Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$1.7kat 0.479Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$1.7kat 0.304Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.5kat 0.555Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
- +$1.2kat 0.681Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 12:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-13 10:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $877.35 |
| 08-13 10:03 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.75 | $652.85 |
| 07-21 20:58 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6083147778 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 10:39 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.5k |
| 07-18 10:38 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.1666927707 | $641.13 |
| 07-13 07:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.5744087052 | $500.00 |
| 07-10 13:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.7367613442 | $500.00 |
| 07-10 13:14 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.7524433246 | $500.00 |
| 07-06 11:32 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-06 11:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-23 15:21 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 06-23 15:20 | US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9483688416 | $1.4k |
| 06-23 15:20 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $500.00 |
| 06-19 14:08 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3556981333 | $486.67 |