PolyBot

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Traders

Bloombergg

0x501870715d934653d1ebe8b4564df87b36e96108

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$199.6k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$883.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.445$397.32$102.68
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6900.105$304.35$1.7k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.065$180.56$819.44
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2700.002$1.50$268.50
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.6080.000$0.00$500.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.6980.000$0.00$1000.00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No0.5660.000$0.00$1000.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.6260.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$500.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.3100.000$0.00$500.00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00$500.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No0.4200.000$0.00$500.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.5710.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 12:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5599999996$500.00
08-13 10:05Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.93$877.35
08-13 10:03US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.75$652.85
07-21 20:58Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6083147778$500.00
07-18 10:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.86$1.5k
07-18 10:38Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.1666927707$641.13
07-13 07:26US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5744087052$500.00
07-10 13:14Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.7367613442$500.00
07-10 13:14Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.7524433246$500.00
07-06 11:32Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.5299999997$500.00
07-06 11:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999997$500.00
06-23 15:21Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5499999996$500.00
06-23 15:20US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9483688416$1.4k
06-23 15:20Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1299999998$500.00
06-19 14:08Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.3556981333$486.67