qingwawangz
0x4ffcf3e1c552a3518279a46a170eacd6dd2651f4
- Realised P&L
- $-70.54
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $16.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.760 | $8.63 | −$1.36 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.776 | 0.954 | $7.37 | +$1.37 |
| Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5) · South Florida Bulls | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.71 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.81 |
| Blackhawks vs. Wild · Blackhawks | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.77 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.82 |
| Senators vs. Predators · Senators | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.28 |
| Spurs vs. Rockets · Spurs | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.80 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Celtics vs. Nets · Nets | 0.909 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.95 |
| Rockets vs. 76ers · Rockets | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.83 |
| Utah vs. Hurricanes · Utah | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
| Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5 · Under | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.64at 0.690Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
- +$20.62at 0.700Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
- +$19.64at 0.710Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?
- +$19.64at 0.710Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5
- +$19.64at 0.710Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:08 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7759999183 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 15:07 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 13:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.9879999137 | $6.00 |
| 05-10 13:51 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 13:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 13:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 02-12 02:34 | Hawks vs. Hornets | SELL | 0.991 | $2.29 |
| 02-12 02:30 | Hawks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.85 | $1.96 |
| 02-11 22:10 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.15 |
| 02-11 22:05 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.95 |
| 02-10 21:28 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.40 |
| 02-10 21:19 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? | BUY | 0.829 | $1.99 |
| 02-10 05:40 | Thunder vs. Lakers | SELL | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 02-10 05:36 | Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.94 | $1.99 |
| 02-08 18:21 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.27 |