0x4fdf6da907424b72b6ea99eebbd69c05d0f9164c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $116.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.44at 0.089Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?
- +$10.60at 0.220Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 1?
- +$6.14at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 1?
- +$1.46at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1?
- +$0.61at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.7299999684 | $3.70 |
| 11-01 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.5699999214 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.86 |
| 11-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6001611974 | $3.05 |
| 11-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0720238457 | $2.96 |
| 11-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0193333333 | $1.16 |
| 11-01 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.3699999583 | $2.66 |
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.94 |
| 11-01 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0624639571 | $2.94 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.3699999583 | $2.66 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.3109999718 | $1.92 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.192926045 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.5101886638 | $2.60 |
| 11-01 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |