PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4fdf6da907424b72b6ea99eebbd69c05d0f9164c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$116.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.4501.000$6.13+$3.37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1? · Yes0.4800.999$6.12+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 1? · Yes0.5001.000$5.10+$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on November 1? · No0.8201.000$5.06+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on November 1? · No0.8301.000$5.06+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? · No0.8701.000$5.05+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 1? · No0.8510.999$5.05+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No0.8441.000$5.03+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? · Yes0.5600.985$5.01+$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1? · No0.7001.000$5.00+$1.50
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? · Yes0.7000.963$4.88+$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 2? · No0.8800.960$4.85+$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on November 1? · No0.3000.495$4.60+$1.81
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2? · No0.7600.725$3.67−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? · No0.7300.710$3.60−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:27Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?BUY0.7299999684$3.70
11-01 23:27Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2?BUY0.5699999214$2.90
11-01 23:24Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.25$2.86
11-01 23:09Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 2?BUY0.6001611974$3.05
11-01 23:09Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.0720238457$2.96
11-01 23:09Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?BUY0.0193333333$1.16
11-01 23:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.3699999583$2.66
11-01 23:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.2$2.94
11-01 22:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.0624639571$2.94
11-01 22:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on November 2?BUY0.3699999583$2.66
11-01 22:49Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?BUY0.3109999718$1.92
11-01 22:49Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2?BUY0.192926045$3.00
11-01 22:29Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.5101886638$2.60
11-01 22:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
11-01 22:21Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?BUY0.45$2.70