airdropper
0x4fd899f1001b62d6a8713d72878eae732f82af91
- Realised P&L
- $73.27
- Volume
- $2.48M
- Markets traded
- 713
- Open portfolio
- $407.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded713
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$890.00at 0.100Will Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
- +$308.40at 0.383Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
- +$290.98at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$213.14at 0.001Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
- +$150.97at 0.245Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:04 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.021 | $3.93 |
| 08-03 05:04 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.022 | $17.89 |
| 08-03 01:40 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 04:55 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.0061666667 | $1.85 |
| 07-23 03:08 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 05:31 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-21 07:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.55 |
| 07-19 03:18 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-18 19:19 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.0063341386 | $0.34 |
| 07-18 03:23 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.0033683519 | $8.97 |
| 07-10 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-10 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 07-10 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-10 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-10 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |