PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

airdropper

0x4fd899f1001b62d6a8713d72878eae732f82af91

Realised P&L
$660.21
Volume
$2.56M
Markets traded
729
Open portfolio
$196.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded729
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 00:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.28$5.60
08-28 10:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.76$75.99
08-27 09:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSELL0.49$49.00
08-27 08:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSELL0.03$0.75
08-27 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.22$22.00
08-27 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.09$9.00
08-22 00:52Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$180.00
08-22 00:51Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$4.19
08-22 00:49Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?SELL0.003$5.84
08-19 15:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-03 05:04Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.021$3.93
08-03 05:04Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.022$17.89
08-03 01:40Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?SELL0.003$6.00
07-23 04:55Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?SELL0.0061666667$1.85
07-23 03:08Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?SELL0.04$2.00