PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

airdropper

0x4fd899f1001b62d6a8713d72878eae732f82af91

Realised P&L
$73.27
Volume
$2.48M
Markets traded
713
Open portfolio
$407.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded713
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:04Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.021$3.93
08-03 05:04Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.022$17.89
08-03 01:40Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?SELL0.003$6.00
07-23 04:55Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?SELL0.0061666667$1.85
07-23 03:08Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?SELL0.04$2.00
07-22 05:31Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?SELL0.002$0.02
07-21 07:11Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$2.55
07-19 03:18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.09$90.00
07-18 19:19Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?SELL0.0063341386$0.34
07-18 03:23Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?SELL0.0033683519$8.97
07-10 03:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.14$2.80
07-10 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.85$17.00
07-10 03:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.22$2.20
07-10 03:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.24$2.40
07-10 03:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.32$6.40