PolyBot

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Traders

awei02

0x4fad5916f72e19d8461a65135a46f02e2439d264

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$232.5k
Markets traded
941
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded941
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8360.957$1.7k+$208.94
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8470.964$1.4k+$175.34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8660.955$1.4k+$128.27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9150.969$1.0k+$55.61
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8140.925$738.36+$88.26
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8580.949$221.03+$21.03
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.4130.935$149.65+$83.55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7500.945$126.00+$26.00
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes0.8160.755$120.94−$9.71
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8200.935$114.02+$14.02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6600.625$94.70−$5.30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.625$68.85+$8.26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4900.625$63.78+$13.78
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7290.855$58.66+$8.66
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? · No0.5400.495$45.83−$4.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 14:11Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?BUY0.5399999976$50.00
09-28 03:46Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.5299999961$30.00
09-23 02:48Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-23 02:48Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.25$10.00
09-22 15:41Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9807517715$100.00
09-22 15:36Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8999999685$20.00
09-22 15:34Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8699999968$30.00
09-22 15:32Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9$30.00
09-22 15:31Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8499999957$20.00
09-22 15:30Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8599999983$30.00
09-22 15:29Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8499999915$20.00
09-22 15:27Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7099999815$10.00
09-22 15:26Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7199999942$10.00
09-22 15:22Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.89$26.70
09-22 15:21Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9$50.00