PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kokopilot

0x4fad05c042f5c4facbba999488a6790bac579717

Realised P&L
$-361.51
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$116.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.375$29.61−$0.39
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? · Yes0.3700.365$29.59−$0.41
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.695$24.82−$0.18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.635$14.88−$0.12
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? · Yes0.5600.560$6.00+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.625$3.97−$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? · Yes0.8500.845$2.98−$0.02
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$2.75−$0.25
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat? · Yes0.9200.915$1.99−$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4910.000$0.00−$97.13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4370.000$0.00−$159.24
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$4.00
Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 19:25Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-10 19:24Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$15.00
10-10 17:52Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$15.00
10-10 17:50Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?BUY0.8499999717$3.00
10-10 17:49Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
10-10 17:48Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?BUY0.5599999851$6.00
10-10 17:46Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?BUY0.06$3.00
10-10 17:43Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?BUY0.3699999958$30.00
10-10 17:38Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999764$4.00
10-10 17:37Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3799999972$30.00
07-11 21:51Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3249999939$23.95
07-11 21:43Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.555$16.65
07-11 21:42Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.555$16.65
07-11 21:41Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5499999972$30.00
07-11 17:22Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.355$57.86