PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

y7bvrrhjnbxx

0x4fa4137c6ab61b4a8e07a003c9a2d23f37648442

Realised P&L
$-6.60
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$6.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.4200.991$2.36+$1.36
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026? · Yes0.4500.900$2.00+$1.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6300.825$1.31+$0.31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5000.485$0.97$0.03
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$0.34$0.66
Nothing Ever Happens: February · Nothing0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.50
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$0.10
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? · Yes0.4740.000$0.00$4.44
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$0.50
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:38Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-21 09:09Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
09-21 09:05Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.3979999705$1.00
09-03 15:32ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?SELL0.61$2.46
09-03 14:57ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
09-03 14:54ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-22 06:46Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
02-23 21:35Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
02-23 17:59Will Binance be accused of insider trading?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
02-11 12:40Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryBUY0.5899998466$1.00
02-11 12:40Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.63$1.00
01-30 10:33Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
12-30 19:44Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
12-23 18:25Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?BUY0.21$1.05
12-14 11:59Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.059999946$1.00