y7bvrrhjnbxx
0x4fa4137c6ab61b4a8e07a003c9a2d23f37648442
- Realised P&L
- $-6.60
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.07at 0.642Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?
- +$5.97at 0.126Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$5.43at 0.348Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?
- +$4.00at 0.180Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will MrBeast's next video after March 23 get between 20m and 30m views?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:38 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:05 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3979999705 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:32 | ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.46 |
| 09-03 14:57 | ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:54 | ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 06:46 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 21:35 | Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 17:59 | Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 02-11 12:40 | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 12:40 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 01-30 10:33 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 12-30 19:44 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 12-23 18:25 | Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 12-14 11:59 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |