PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4F82Fb25D000515b11F95b628c94ad640ea09725-1767562058183

0x4f82fb25d000515b11f95b628c94ad640ea09725

Realised P&L
$-372.59
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
362
Open portfolio
$13.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded362
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4780.470$9.83−$0.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2220.204$0.92−$0.08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5000.885$0.89+$0.39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.285$0.77−$0.23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.045$0.51−$1.49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3300.045$0.41−$2.59
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? · Yes0.5000.120$0.24−$0.76
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.115$0.12−$0.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.6730.000$0.00−$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
10-16 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00
10-16 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.7183621114$5.00
10-16 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.6799999978$25.00
10-16 00:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.6336633663$5.00
10-16 00:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.699999972$5.00
10-16 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-16 00:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-16 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-16 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.1$5.00
10-16 00:25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$1.00
10-16 00:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.99$25.00
10-16 00:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-16 00:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.9299998419$1.00
10-16 00:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.92$1.00