0x4f7e9b5fa5ba955c246fba3209d9eb7583742b24
0x4f7e9b5fa5ba955c246fba3209d9eb7583742b24
- Realised P&L
- $-64.64
- Volume
- $51.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $421.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $104.55 | +$4.55 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $96.67 | −$3.33 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.007 | $93.75 | +$43.75 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs · Team Synapse | 0.130 | 0.680 | $52.31 | +$42.31 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $44.23 | −$5.77 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $22.68 | −$7.55 |
| St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal · Mark Lajal | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$4.99 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A · Chicken Coop Esports | 0.019 | 0.006 | $1.83 | −$3.96 |
| Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Al Ahli (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs · Al Ahli | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.75at 0.216Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?
- +$41.83at 0.205Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston
- +$13.85at 0.269Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan
- +$-5.00at 0.001Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 25?
- +$-8.92at 0.106Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:44 | Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Al Ahli (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.03 | $0.57 |
| 09-25 18:44 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A | BUY | 0.019 | $5.79 |
| 09-25 18:43 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal | BUY | 0.001 | $7.98 |
| 09-25 18:43 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal | BUY | 0.001 | $2.02 |
| 09-25 18:41 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-25 16:40 | Porto: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Swan | BUY | 0.25 | $4.74 |
| 09-25 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 15:55 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 15:54 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 15:54 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999989 | $8.22 |
| 09-25 13:30 | Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 13:30 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Jessica Pieri | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 13:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $50.00 |