PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xxtest

0x4f7949179b1fd1f8c25b9d4912c89ca9f563af92

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$32.5k
Markets traded
491
Open portfolio
$37.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded491
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2027? · No0.8500.760$15.19−$1.80
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? · No0.8600.710$14.20−$3.00
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8400.295$5.90−$10.90
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat? · No0.0420.027$0.54−$0.30
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? · No0.0400.019$0.38−$0.42
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat? · No0.0800.007$0.15−$1.45
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? · Yes0.0100.006$0.13−$0.07
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0100.006$0.12−$0.08
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? · Yes0.0100.004$0.09−$0.11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · Yes0.0800.050$0.08−$0.05
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? · Yes0.0100.004$0.08−$0.09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.004$0.07−$0.13
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? · Yes0.0100.003$0.05−$0.15
Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1? · Yes0.0700.005$0.04−$0.45
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.002$0.03−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.