PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4F71f873348B7acd0A883f717270F4AC4dC91721-1778715175566

0x4f71f873348b7acd0a883f717270f4ac4dc91721

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$70.2k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$94.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3740.320$89.55−$15.19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.0700.077$3.85+$0.35
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.2100.040$1.00−$4.25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$47.56
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$190.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$5.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$3.60
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic · Arthur Rinderknech0.2080.000$0.00−$3.00
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.7400.000$0.00−$3.70
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$40.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$17.70
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$9.29
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? · No0.1540.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 09:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.5975298988$806.20
10-13 10:12Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6762071101$439.01
10-13 01:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8009772$400.49
10-07 17:57Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.1$22.95
09-30 20:21Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.16$3.42
09-30 20:05Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9598811858$484.73
09-30 20:03Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.871892954$273.35
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6661364088$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6702610982$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-30 20:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6566850538$50.00
09-30 20:01Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$4.33