0x4F71f873348B7acd0A883f717270F4AC4dC91721-1778715175566
0x4f71f873348b7acd0a883f717270f4ac4dc91721
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $94.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.19at 0.774Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$755.61at 0.785Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$694.38at 0.637Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?
- +$450.97at 0.777Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
- +$330.07at 0.847Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 09:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5975298988 | $806.20 |
| 10-13 10:12 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6762071101 | $439.01 |
| 10-13 01:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8009772 | $400.49 |
| 10-07 17:57 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $22.95 |
| 09-30 20:21 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.42 |
| 09-30 20:05 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9598811858 | $484.73 |
| 09-30 20:03 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.871892954 | $273.35 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6661364088 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6702610982 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6566850538 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 20:01 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.33 |