JaIsOne1
0x4f6950875b44741f201d3319c9780ce5e18050a5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $66.2k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $620.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.44at 0.353Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?
- +$235.10at 0.472US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$206.42at 0.702US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$77.19at 0.568Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
- +$72.97at 0.370Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5? | BUY | 0.2924635362 | $605.02 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.612103797 | $547.14 |
| 11-01 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.6958407643 | $109.25 |
| 10-31 19:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.3371713681 | $354.32 |
| 10-28 18:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.46 | $372.97 |
| 07-22 21:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $0.98 |
| 07-22 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $1.95 |
| 07-22 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:24 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.3677710803 | $33.00 |
| 07-22 19:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0258737621 | $33.08 |
| 07-22 19:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $1.18 |