dimeees
0x4f5f00c41dc39bb182f9a973e0c1ef0e5e35b2f0
- Realised P&L
- $29.31
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $236.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.653 | 0.750 | $236.25 | +$30.37 |
| Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.47 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.50at 0.785Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$105.07at 0.754Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$76.00at 0.433Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$61.45at 0.830Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$48.49at 0.470VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:59 | Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.35 | $9.72 |
| 07-19 19:47 | Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.991 | $23.97 |
| 07-19 18:18 | Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.3899999866 | $7.00 |
| 07-19 18:17 | Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 03-02 20:40 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 03-02 20:39 | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $815.43 |
| 03-01 19:06 | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.9812048294 | $800.91 |
| 02-28 14:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.6199999934 | $75.00 |
| 01-22 19:38 | Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.15 | $22.50 |
| 01-18 12:00 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.7303229497 | $140.43 |
| 01-15 20:52 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $150.00 |
| 01-08 16:11 | Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 12-21 15:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.91 | $66.90 |
| 12-21 15:15 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | SELL | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 12-17 21:52 | VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8488681758 | $150.00 |