0x4F3D2A21853EB726AC87AFfab77deA3EF306FADA-1764286134520
0x4f3d2a21853eb726ac87affab77dea3ef306fada
- Realised P&L
- $904.37
- Volume
- $114.1k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $634.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.82at 0.082Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$167.51at 0.290Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$166.24at 0.404Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$163.63at 0.427Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$162.22at 0.270Spurs vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-16 14:53 | Vikings vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $289.96 |
| 09-15 01:33 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 00:46 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 00:45 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 23:44 | Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.359079557 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 23:41 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 23:23 | Spread: Eagles (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4052098396 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 23:21 | Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | SELL | 0.57 | $53.77 |
| 09-13 23:17 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 23:00 | Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 45.5 | SELL | 0.35 | $62.50 |
| 09-13 22:54 | Cardinals vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.7099999953 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 21:23 | Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 22:37 | Duke vs. Illinois | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |