PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4F3D2A21853EB726AC87AFfab77deA3EF306FADA-1764286134520

0x4f3d2a21853eb726ac87affab77dea3ef306fada

Realised P&L
$904.37
Volume
$114.1k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$634.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.5910.991$167.59+$67.59
Will Arkansas have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.6300.810$128.57+$28.57
Will Kansas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.5610.725$72.37+$16.37
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.1700.227$40.06+$10.06
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.2780.265$38.10$1.90
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.2600.305$35.19+$5.19
Vikings vs. Bears · Vikings0.3300.345$31.36+$1.36
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.2020.196$29.09$0.91
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.2100.195$27.86$2.14
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? · Yes0.2200.135$18.41$11.59
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.0880.066$15.69$5.52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.007$15.00$5.00
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.054$10.90+$0.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4600.445$4.45$0.15
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos0.5300.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.46$4.60
09-16 14:53Vikings vs. BearsBUY0.3299999997$30.00
09-16 12:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.88$289.96
09-15 01:33Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5BUY0.6999999993$100.00
09-15 00:46Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)BUY0.5299999883$20.00
09-15 00:45Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5BUY0.5199999981$100.00
09-13 23:44Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 52.5BUY0.359079557$30.00
09-13 23:41Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)BUY0.3299999997$30.00
09-13 23:23Spread: Eagles (-5.5)BUY0.4052098396$100.00
09-13 23:21Spread: Eagles (-4.5)SELL0.57$53.77
09-13 23:17Packers vs. VikingsBUY0.4499999978$30.00
09-13 23:00Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 45.5SELL0.35$62.50
09-13 22:54Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.7099999953$30.00
09-13 21:23Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 45.5BUY0.5599999987$100.00
09-12 22:37Duke vs. IllinoisBUY0.5299999946$40.00