PolyBot

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Traders

0x4ef9aaa3766ef2e3ccd6186ec999f65e11147a38

0x4ef9aaa3766ef2e3ccd6186ec999f65e11147a38

Realised P&L
$9.80
Volume
$176.07
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$4.57

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7300.967$1.32+$0.32
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4200.490$1.17+$0.17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.680$0.99−$0.01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3200.200$0.63−$0.38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.055$0.15−$0.85
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes0.3200.037$0.12−$0.88
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.5600.055$0.10−$0.90
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No0.2200.016$0.07−$0.93
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.7900.020$0.03−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:58Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 07:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-06 23:44Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-06 14:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-06 06:27Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-05 22:27Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-05 13:54SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-04 23:10Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-02 15:26Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 05:46Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-01 16:33Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
10-01 08:29Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-30 23:20Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-30 13:01Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-30 04:30SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.7$1.00