0x4eB3e6Dd4990973BA721b87ea08eB74EC4c59858-1766772157274
0x4eb3e6dd4990973ba721b87ea08eb74ec4c59858
- Realised P&L
- $-459.81
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $322.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.25at 0.235Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?
- +$28.50at 0.430Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$26.12at 0.164Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
- +$24.23at 0.160Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$24.19at 0.387Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:14 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.538 | $5.38 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 14:11 | Juventus FC vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-15 13:32 | Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:29 | Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:28 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-13 10:29 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-13 10:28 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-13 10:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-13 09:10 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-13 09:09 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-13 09:09 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-12 22:29 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.526 | $5.26 |
| 09-12 22:27 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |