PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ea38db5b2a5790154895ab987daa07c9b48b7f3

0x4ea38db5b2a5790154895ab987daa07c9b48b7f3

Realised P&L
$-296.55
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
2,042
Open portfolio
$152.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,042
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.8390.930$20.39+$2.00
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner · MVK Esports0.6701.000$14.92+$4.92
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.7270.840$11.56+$1.56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2750.135$9.81−$10.18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7760.760$9.79−$0.21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.8150.705$8.65−$1.35
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6800.665$8.60−$0.20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.6550.780$7.15+$1.15
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.9500.945$6.74−$0.04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.8220.825$5.90+$0.02
St Johnstone FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.2501.000$4.00+$3.00
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? · Yes0.7990.595$2.54−$0.87
COD Meknès vs. Union Touarga Sports: O/U 0.5 · Over0.8901.000$2.25+$0.25
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · No0.7000.710$2.21+$0.03
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? · No0.8810.825$2.00−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 19:16Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9499998809$6.78
10-17 19:09Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$20.37
10-17 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.27$0.01
10-17 18:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
10-17 18:50Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17?SELL0.25$0.57
10-17 18:45Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-17 18:45Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-17 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.88$2.44
10-17 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.8799999928$4.92
10-17 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.8799999855$2.43
10-17 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.8699999606$2.21
10-17 18:36Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4899999824$10.00
10-17 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.07$0.54
10-17 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.3899999844$3.00
10-17 18:26LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6699999839$10.00