0x4e9EDE307aA1362E374d73A08d4bC965a53Ac4e0-1769022035086
0x4e9ede307aa1362e374d73a08d4bc965a53ac4e0
- Realised P&L
- $-76.15
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $47.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.56at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$34.10at 0.530Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$33.56at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$31.67at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$22.26at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 08:23 | Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 08:23 | Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0651578525 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 08:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1259999801 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 08:21 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 06:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.81 |
| 07-23 06:11 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 06:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:30 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks in Georgia? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:29 | Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during remarks in Georgia? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:29 | Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia? | BUY | 0.8799999296 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:29 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia? | BUY | 0.0519230722 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 13:06 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |