PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4e9EDE307aA1362E374d73A08d4bC965a53Ac4e0-1769022035086

0x4e9ede307aa1362e374d73a08d4bc965a53ac4e0

Realised P&L
$-76.15
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$47.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.455$10.34+$0.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8600.865$10.06+$0.06
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1100.089$8.14$1.86
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1260.117$4.66$0.34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0500.046$4.65$0.35
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.230$3.59$1.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.040$3.04$6.96
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4910.175$1.79$3.21
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · Yes0.2300.081$1.05$1.95
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia · Czechia0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$4.70
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$15.00
Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address? · No0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$4.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$9.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 08:23Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-25 08:23Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?BUY0.0651578525$15.00
07-25 08:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1259999801$5.00
07-25 08:21Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.05$5.00
07-23 06:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24?BUY0.6$21.81
07-23 06:11Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$5.00
07-23 06:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
07-23 06:092026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4399999894$10.00
07-22 12:30Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks in Georgia?BUY0.16$10.00
07-22 12:29Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during remarks in Georgia?BUY0.5599999462$10.00
07-22 12:29Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia?BUY0.8799999296$10.00
07-22 12:29Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?BUY0.0519230722$10.00
07-21 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-21 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-21 13:06Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.0029999994$5.00