readinghospital
0x4e9ccca02f64a44f24d3b1f80dcea0cec90bd1be
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $210.2k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$487.05at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET
- +$411.52at 0.358Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
- +$383.40at 0.310Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- +$357.42at 0.230Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$338.79at 0.240Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:22 | Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $615.30 |
| 04-27 09:21 | Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $639.10 |
| 04-23 13:30 | Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.3k |
| 04-21 08:59 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.36 |
| 04-21 02:49 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.76 | $808.64 |
| 04-12 08:20 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $549.93 |
| 04-11 16:58 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.73 | $506.62 |
| 04-11 16:57 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.73 | $71.54 |
| 04-11 11:02 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $533.99 |
| 04-11 10:57 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.84 | $893.76 |
| 04-09 10:53 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $874.08 |
| 04-08 08:17 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.1k |
| 04-07 12:38 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | BUY | 0.85 | $673.20 |
| 03-30 16:25 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.15 | $77.85 |
| 03-30 16:24 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.15 | $19.20 |