PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4e2DA75C1298DB07AFB8fc128622E8bDCcd01E94-1778712843572

0x4e2da75c1298db07afb8fc128622e8bdccd01e94

Realised P&L
$-15.5k
Volume
$64.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$222.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-24.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1530.070$89.89$106.11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$72.22$27.78
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1810.097$53.44$46.55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4380.512$7.02+$1.02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4210.000$0.00$2.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.0450.000$0.00$15.00
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7160.000$0.00$30.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00$15.2k
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$19.45
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7820.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 00:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4379999634$6.00
07-19 21:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0733684873$482.88
07-18 23:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999997$450.00
07-17 19:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4059999999$1.7k
07-17 00:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4159999993$300.00
07-17 00:53Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.416$6.0k
07-16 14:13AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.1814967446$100.00
07-16 13:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999988$66.54
07-16 13:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.09$33.46
07-16 13:57Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1526366462$196.00
07-16 02:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4209999992$200.00
07-16 02:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4209999998$970.41
07-16 02:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4219999987$100.00
07-16 02:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4209999998$1000.00
07-15 21:55Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.42$4.5k